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TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Wednesday, 16 September 2026

Weather Trader Notebook MILEPOST 494

January 13, 2025 Monday Extended Outlook

Hope for warming into late January

What the month did

January 2025 was the 33rd-coolest January in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 29.2°F against a 1991–2020 normal of 32.3°F (-3.2°F).

January 2025 was the 5th-driest January in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 1.4in against a 1991–2020 normal of 2.3in (-1.0in).

NOAA/NCEI Climate at a Glance, contiguous United States. This is the observed record for the month, not a score of anything said in this piece — the forecast ledger begins 2026-08-17 and cannot reach earlier posts.

The first 2 weeks of January probably surprised a lot of cynical winter weather naysayers who seem to always expect “torch” conditions these days. However, with the transition to La Nina and seemingly much easier ability of the tropospheric polar vortex to extend lobes into the subtropics, we saw a lot of snowfall across the Lower 48 except, of course, in two notable locations: New York City and Boston.

We are seeing a growing deficit across California’s mountains with very little precipitation in recent weeks as atmospheric rivers have been directed by the Pacific storm track (and jet) into the Pacific Northwest, Canada, and now into Alaska.

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Milepost
494 · laid 2025-01-14T01:17:50.270000Z
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https://weather.substack.com/p/january-13-2025-monday-extended-outlook
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