October 26, 2024 Saturday Weather Update
Election Day forecast looks warm
October 2024 was the 2nd-warmest October in the 131-year national record (1895–2025), at 58.9°F against a 1991–2020 normal of 54.5°F (+4.4°F).
October 2024 was the 3rd-driest October in the 131-year national record (1895–2025), at 1.0in against a 1991–2020 normal of 2.5in (-1.5in).
NOAA/NCEI Climate at a Glance, contiguous United States. This is the observed record for the month, not a score of anything said in this piece — the forecast ledger begins 2026-08-17 and cannot reach earlier posts.
With the 2024 Election Day now within 10-days, our weather forecasts can provide a better picture of the upper-level pattern, but not provide much help in determining a new President. All signs point to a strong ridge over the Eastern U.S. meaning mild weather — well above freezing — and any precipitation would likely be light and liquid.
There will be a period of lower-predictability past Day 10 as a developing Typhoon Kong-Rey in the Western Pacific disrupts the North Pacific jet stream during extratropical transition. However, until then, we have a rather repeatable pattern that maintains abnormally warm and dry weather across the eastern half of the Lower 48.
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- 420 · laid 2024-10-27T00:53:03.227000Z
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