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TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Wednesday, 16 September 2026

Weather Trader Notebook MILEPOST 417

Oct 21, 2024 Monday Weather Update

October continues to be warm and dry across Lower 48

What the month did

October 2024 was the 2nd-warmest October in the 131-year national record (1895–2025), at 58.9°F against a 1991–2020 normal of 54.5°F (+4.4°F).

October 2024 was the 3rd-driest October in the 131-year national record (1895–2025), at 1.0in against a 1991–2020 normal of 2.5in (-1.5in).

NOAA/NCEI Climate at a Glance, contiguous United States. This is the observed record for the month, not a score of anything said in this piece — the forecast ledger begins 2026-08-17 and cannot reach earlier posts.

The upper-level pattern for the next 7-10 days is marked by ridging across much of the Lower 48 until a trough can finally dig into the Western US. That means very warm and dry conditions continue across much of the U.S. with only brief disturbances in the Midwest and Great Lakes bringing cooler, Canadian air.

However, at the end of the period into Halloween and November, above average temperatures across the Eastern U.S. remain strongly in place.

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Milepost
417 · laid 2024-10-21T15:47:12.540000Z
Source
https://weather.substack.com/p/oct-21-2024-monday-weather-update
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