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TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Wednesday, 16 September 2026

Weather Trader Tropics MILEPOST 410

Oct 8, 2024 Evening Tropical Update

Hurricane Milton regains Category 5 with 905 mb pressure

What the month did

October 2024 was the 2nd-warmest October in the 131-year national record (1895–2025), at 58.9°F against a 1991–2020 normal of 54.5°F (+4.4°F).

October 2024 was the 3rd-driest October in the 131-year national record (1895–2025), at 1.0in against a 1991–2020 normal of 2.5in (-1.5in).

NOAA/NCEI Climate at a Glance, contiguous United States. This is the observed record for the month, not a score of anything said in this piece — the forecast ledger begins 2026-08-17 and cannot reach earlier posts.

RRFS-A mesoscale model did particularly well with Hurricane Helene’s inland impacts including wind gusts and rainfall. These wind gusts are extremely damaging all across the FL peninsula. Note, the track and areas of highest winds could move north or south by 20-30 miles making all the difference in your neighborhood.

Forecasters look at the Statistical Hurricane Intensity Prediction Scheme SHIPS matrix of indicators based upon model data, in this case the GFS version.

For subscribers

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Milepost
410 · laid 2024-10-09T00:03:27.039000Z
Source
https://weather.substack.com/p/oct-8-2024-evening-tropical-update
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