Sept 12, 2024 Francine Drenches Southeast
Gordon expected to be a fish storm, potentially a major hurricane
September 2024 was the 2nd-warmest September in the 131-year national record (1895–2025), at 68.6°F against a 1991–2020 normal of 66.0°F (+2.7°F).
September 2024 was the 44th-driest September in the 131-year national record (1895–2025), at 2.3in against a 1991–2020 normal of 2.6in (-0.3in).
NOAA/NCEI Climate at a Glance, contiguous United States. This is the observed record for the month, not a score of anything said in this piece — the forecast ledger begins 2026-08-17 and cannot reach earlier posts.
Hurricane Francine made landfall on Wednesday as a Category 2 (100 mph) in line with model and statistical forecasts. HAFS mesoscale models picked up on the burst of convection and deepening into the low-970s pressure. NHC nailed the landfall intensity.
Francine was baked in the cake > 1 week prior with A.I. model guidance showing the development and track up to 10-days in advance. The predictability of tropical storm formation seems much higher with circulation induced systems like Francine that are a product of large-scale patterns rather than convective whims of the monsoon trough.
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- 389 · laid 2024-09-12T16:26:13.054000Z
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