July 5, 2024 Evening Tropical Update: Hurricane Beryl Emerges into Gulf of Mexico
Major hurricane potential along Texas coast around Corpus Christi
July 2024 was the 12th-warmest July in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 75.7°F against a 1991–2020 normal of 74.4°F (+1.3°F).
July 2024 was the 21st-wettest July in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 3.1in against a 1991–2020 normal of 2.9in (+0.2in).
NOAA/NCEI Climate at a Glance, contiguous United States. This is the observed record for the month, not a score of anything said in this piece — the forecast ledger begins 2026-08-17 and cannot reach earlier posts.
Tropical Storm Beryl has decreased to 65 mph winds (989 mb) due to passage over the Yucatan Peninsula. However, Beryl is now emerging over the warm Gulf of Mexico waters — which will only get warmer/deeper during the next 48-72 hours.
The track forecast from NHC is a bit left (west) of the vast majority of model guidance from 12z. There is a notable adjustment with the 5 pm forecast update for a northward adjustment up the Texas coast just south of Corpus Christi. I expect this trend to continue with more model guidance overnight.
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- 334 · laid 2024-07-05T21:29:16.866000Z
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