July 2, 2024 Tropical Update: Beryl peaked at Category 5
Jamaica under serious threat of major hurricane conditions
July 2024 was the 12th-warmest July in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 75.7°F against a 1991–2020 normal of 74.4°F (+1.3°F).
July 2024 was the 21st-wettest July in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 3.1in against a 1991–2020 normal of 2.9in (+0.2in).
NOAA/NCEI Climate at a Glance, contiguous United States. This is the observed record for the month, not a score of anything said in this piece — the forecast ledger begins 2026-08-17 and cannot reach earlier posts.
Major Hurricane Beryl into Jamaica as weakening is not occurring quickly even in the face of increasing wind shear. The maximum intensity has weakened to just under Category 5 at 135-knots with central pressure at 943 mb.
The track forecast is more uncertain that usual in the southern Gulf of Mexico with some models showing more northward motion toward Texas. Therefore, while the official NHC track forecast landfalls Mexico on Sunday, this is up for revision in the coming 1-2 days. We must still watch / wait for potential Texas impacts.
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- 331 · laid 2024-07-02T22:28:56.790000Z
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