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TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Wednesday, 16 September 2026

Weather Trader Tropics MILEPOST 330

July 1, 2024 Tropical Update: Monster Hurricane Beryl

Beryl nearing Category 5 in the Caribbean

What the month did

July 2024 was the 12th-warmest July in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 75.7°F against a 1991–2020 normal of 74.4°F (+1.3°F).

July 2024 was the 21st-wettest July in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 3.1in against a 1991–2020 normal of 2.9in (+0.2in).

NOAA/NCEI Climate at a Glance, contiguous United States. This is the observed record for the month, not a score of anything said in this piece — the forecast ledger begins 2026-08-17 and cannot reach earlier posts.

Apex of Hurricane development in early July in the Caribbean: Hurricane Beryl as a high-end Category 4 — on way to potentially Category 5 (this update will be out before NHC 5 pm advisory) with a warm, clear eye and symmetric convective canopy. Hard to find a better example of axisymmetric structure.

Advanced Dvorak Technique (ADT) values have been very close to the aircraft recon upon which they are partly trained with T 6.5 = 125 knots maintained for several hours now, as Beryl enters a sort-of annular state.

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Milepost
330 · laid 2024-07-01T20:35:56.938000Z
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https://weather.substack.com/p/july-1-2024-tropical-update-monster
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