June 30, 2024 Tropical Update: Major Hurricane Beryl
Beryl has rapidly intensified to Category 4 east of the Caribbean
June 2024 was the 2nd-warmest June in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 71.8°F against a 1991–2020 normal of 69.5°F (+2.3°F).
June 2024 was the 41st-driest June in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 2.8in against a 1991–2020 normal of 3.1in (-0.3in).
NOAA/NCEI Climate at a Glance, contiguous United States. This is the observed record for the month, not a score of anything said in this piece — the forecast ledger begins 2026-08-17 and cannot reach earlier posts.
Hurricane Beryl has rapidly intensified to Category 4 — 130 mph (115-knots) with a clear warm eye (+20°C) and cloud-tops canopy in the -63°C range matching the satellite algorithms ( CIMSS-ADT ) closely. Beryl could gain a bit more strength but I do not see Category 5 as too likely. This is at about 11°N latitude where significant warm, deep water is fueling Beryl — but very light or non-existent wind shear is not inhibiting the system, rare for late June into early July.
ECMWF Ensemble Envelope of Solutions (12Z) through 10-days
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