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TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Wednesday, 16 September 2026

Weather Trader Notebook MILEPOST 265

April 16, 2024 Midwest Severe Storm Threat centered upon Iowa

Still watching significant ridging and above-normal temperatures to end April

What the month did

April 2024 was the 15th-warmest April in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 53.6°F against a 1991–2020 normal of 51.8°F (+1.8°F).

April 2024 was the 37th-wettest April in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 2.8in against a 1991–2020 normal of 2.7in (+0.1in).

NOAA/NCEI Climate at a Glance, contiguous United States. This is the observed record for the month, not a score of anything said in this piece — the forecast ledger begins 2026-08-17 and cannot reach earlier posts.

Sea Surface Temperatures in the tropical Eastern Pacific have transitioned to “cooler than normal” across the Equator along 120°W to the coast of Peru/Ecuador signaling the return of La Niña.

However, in the North Atlantic, ocean temperatures remain very warm for mid-April with much above normal SSTs almost basin wide. A pre-requisite for Atlantic hurricane development and maximum potential intensity is warm SSTs and 2024 surely has that ingredient in the soup.

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Milepost
265 · laid 2024-04-16T10:56:55.102000Z
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https://weather.substack.com/p/april-16-2024-midwest-severe-storm
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