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TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Wednesday, 16 September 2026

Weather Trader Notebook MILEPOST 199

February 2, 2024 Major California Storm

Atmospheric River may deliver over foot of rain to Southern California

What the month did

February 2024 was the 3rd-warmest February in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 40.8°F against a 1991–2020 normal of 35.6°F (+5.1°F).

February 2024 was the 62nd-driest February in the 132-year national record (1895–2026), at 2.0in against a 1991–2020 normal of 2.1in (-0.1in).

NOAA/NCEI Climate at a Glance, contiguous United States. This is the observed record for the month, not a score of anything said in this piece — the forecast ledger begins 2026-08-17 and cannot reach earlier posts.

Weather Trader | Friday Update

The groundhog did not see his shadow so that means an early spring . Hard to doubt this critter after looking at the upper-level weather pattern and medium-range weather models. Of course, Phil knows all of that already based upon his keen awareness of the weather. The problem with an “early spring” in the Southeast is that a cold snap could still happen in late March and harm plants that were tricked into budding or leafing earlier than normal especially with citrus.

For subscribers

The rest of this piece is for paid subscribers of Weather Trader. The Post keeps the archive, the index and the record; the writing itself stays behind the same subscription it was published under.

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Milepost
199 · laid 2024-02-02T14:26:57.034000Z
Source
https://weather.substack.com/p/february-2-2024-major-california
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