Dallas's forecast for Tuesday has moved 6°F warmer
59°F in the 20261112T18:00Z run, 66°F in the 20261114T12:00Z — the 3rd-largest revision of the 3 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 22°F.
RevisionsSaturday, November 14, 2026Dallas, Texas
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Milepost 1690
Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Tuesday, November 24 at 00Z in Dallas, that trail runs from 59.2°F in the 20261112T18:00Z cycle to 65.7°F in the 20261114T12:00Z — a move of +6.4°F across 8 runs.
The change sits well inside the run's own spread, which is the guidance converging rather than reversing.
Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.
The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
| forecast revision for Tuesday at 00Z api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd) |
6.4 °F | normal 0.0 °F · 3 of 3 8 synoptic cycles |
| 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour api.weather.city (nbm-qmd) |
21.7 °F | normal 6.4 °F current run |
- Milepost
- 1690 · laid 2026-11-14T22:25:30Z
- Model
- nbm-qmd · cycle 20261114T12:00Z
- Desk
- revision v1
- Method
- the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
- Stores
- https://api.weather.city/v1/history
- Tagged
- I-500 Daily Weather · Dallas, Texas (32.777, -96.797) · by rule, at build
- Digest
- a63ef79b8b5d469bf1a3ff362807aaf72f3cab290a3ef316fcf429e869e642d2