Minneapolis's forecast for Saturday has moved 8°F warmer
43°F in the 20261112T18:00Z run, 51°F in the 20261114T12:00Z — the 2nd-largest revision of the 3 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 15°F.
RevisionsSaturday, November 14, 2026Minneapolis, Minnesota
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Milepost 1689
Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Saturday, November 21 at 12Z in Minneapolis, that trail runs from 43.3°F in the 20261112T18:00Z cycle to 51.4°F in the 20261114T12:00Z — a move of +8.1°F across 8 runs.
The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.
Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.
The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
| forecast revision for Saturday at 12Z api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd) |
8.1 °F | normal 0.0 °F · 2 of 3 8 synoptic cycles |
| 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour api.weather.city (nbm-qmd) |
14.6 °F | normal 8.1 °F current run |
- Milepost
- 1689 · laid 2026-11-14T22:25:30Z
- Model
- nbm-qmd · cycle 20261114T12:00Z
- Desk
- revision v1
- Method
- the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
- Stores
- https://api.weather.city/v1/history
- Tagged
- I-500 Daily Weather · Minneapolis, Minnesota (44.978, -93.265) · by rule, at build
- Digest
- 8a5b69cb24ac034deb229630a8d9b061a6fe0e64e4c685c220892a10237f49ee