Minneapolis's forecast for Monday has moved 8°F warmer
44°F in the 20261110T18:00Z run, 51°F in the 20261112T12:00Z — the largest revision of any city on the roster. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 7°F.
RevisionsThursday, November 12, 2026Minneapolis, Minnesota
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Milepost 1674
Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Monday, November 16 at 21Z in Minneapolis, that trail runs from 43.6°F in the 20261110T18:00Z cycle to 51.4°F in the 20261112T12:00Z — a move of +7.9°F across 8 runs.
The change is larger than the run's own 10th-to-90th percentile spread — the guidance did not merely narrow, it moved off its previous position.
Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.
The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
| forecast revision for Monday at 21Z api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd) |
7.9 °F | normal 0.0 °F · 1 of 3 8 synoptic cycles |
| 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour api.weather.city (nbm-qmd) |
7.5 °F | normal 7.9 °F current run |
- Milepost
- 1674 · laid 2026-11-12T22:25:30Z
- Model
- nbm-qmd · cycle 20261112T12:00Z
- Desk
- revision v1
- Method
- the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
- Stores
- https://api.weather.city/v1/history
- Tagged
- I-500 Daily Weather · Minneapolis, Minnesota (44.978, -93.265) · by rule, at build
- Digest
- fd34e2d340f9bd55f683c2473493d654e8a88d65acf21cbf5ce3333f94e53462