Dallas's forecast for Monday has moved 13°F colder
70°F in the 20261109T12:00Z run, 57°F in the 20261111T06:00Z — the 2nd-largest revision of the 9 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 14°F.
RevisionsWednesday, November 11, 2026Dallas, Texas
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Milepost 1659
Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Monday, November 16 at 21Z in Dallas, that trail runs from 70.0°F in the 20261109T12:00Z cycle to 57.5°F in the 20261111T06:00Z — a move of -12.6°F across 8 runs.
The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.
Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.
The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
| forecast revision for Monday at 21Z api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd) |
-12.6 °F | normal 0.0 °F · 2 of 9 8 synoptic cycles |
| 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour api.weather.city (nbm-qmd) |
14 °F | normal 12.6 °F current run |
- Milepost
- 1659 · laid 2026-11-11T16:25:30Z
- Model
- nbm-qmd · cycle 20261111T06:00Z
- Desk
- revision v1
- Method
- the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
- Stores
- https://api.weather.city/v1/history
- Tagged
- I-500 Daily Weather · Dallas, Texas (32.777, -96.797) · by rule, at build
- Digest
- 3e87f0f781c67d38fb1d24699a12e67251530ab8e04b3ab465d8de29b4f4c549