Minneapolis's forecast for Tuesday has moved 12°F colder
45°F in the 20261109T12:00Z run, 33°F in the 20261111T06:00Z — the 3rd-largest revision of the 9 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 11°F.
RevisionsWednesday, November 11, 2026Minneapolis, Minnesota
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Milepost 1660
Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Tuesday, November 17 at 09Z in Minneapolis, that trail runs from 45.2°F in the 20261109T12:00Z cycle to 33.4°F in the 20261111T06:00Z — a move of -11.8°F across 8 runs.
The change is larger than the run's own 10th-to-90th percentile spread — the guidance did not merely narrow, it moved off its previous position.
Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.
The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
| forecast revision for Tuesday at 09Z api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd) |
-11.8 °F | normal 0.0 °F · 3 of 9 8 synoptic cycles |
| 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour api.weather.city (nbm-qmd) |
10.8 °F | normal 11.8 °F current run |
- Milepost
- 1660 · laid 2026-11-11T16:25:30Z
- Model
- nbm-qmd · cycle 20261111T06:00Z
- Desk
- revision v1
- Method
- the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
- Stores
- https://api.weather.city/v1/history
- Tagged
- I-500 Daily Weather · Minneapolis, Minnesota (44.978, -93.265) · by rule, at build
- Digest
- ff6ee7c7b33e9e3a248075d4e20033ab5148b857b0b0db39104ba2856dd3fa1b