Kansas City's forecast for Tuesday has moved 14°F colder
49°F in the 20261109T12:00Z run, 35°F in the 20261111T06:00Z — the largest revision of any city on the roster. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 10°F.
RevisionsWednesday, November 11, 2026Kansas City, Missouri
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Milepost 1658
Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Tuesday, November 17 at 12Z in Kansas City, that trail runs from 49.4°F in the 20261109T12:00Z cycle to 35.3°F in the 20261111T06:00Z — a move of -14.0°F across 8 runs.
The change is larger than the run's own 10th-to-90th percentile spread — the guidance did not merely narrow, it moved off its previous position.
Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.
The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
| forecast revision for Tuesday at 12Z api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd) |
-14 °F | normal 0.0 °F · 1 of 9 8 synoptic cycles |
| 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour api.weather.city (nbm-qmd) |
9.7 °F | normal 14.0 °F current run |
- Milepost
- 1658 · laid 2026-11-11T16:25:30Z
- Model
- nbm-qmd · cycle 20261111T06:00Z
- Desk
- revision v1
- Method
- the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
- Stores
- https://api.weather.city/v1/history
- Tagged
- I-500 Daily Weather · Kansas City, Missouri (39.1, -94.579) · by rule, at build
- Digest
- 3c3dc65e29e3c44f08709833b3946a0060e9b81a7c1a512fac597c710aeacea6