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Kansas City's forecast for Sunday has moved 13°F colder Subscribe

Kansas City's forecast for Sunday has moved 13°F colder

63°F in the 20261108T06:00Z run, 51°F in the 20261110T00:00Z — the largest revision of any city on the roster. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 24°F.

JSON Milepost 1647

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Sunday, November 15 at 21Z in Kansas City, that trail runs from 63.4°F in the 20261108T06:00Z cycle to 50.6°F in the 20261110T00:00Z — a move of -12.8°F across 8 runs.

The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Sunday at 21Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
-12.8 °F normal 0.0 °F · 1 of 8
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
24.5 °F normal 12.8 °F
current run
Next exit · Daily Weather · NOV 10Atlanta's forecast for Tuesday has moved 10°F colder
Milepost
1647 · laid 2026-11-10T10:25:27Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261110T00:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Stores
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Tagged
I-500 Daily Weather · Kansas City, Missouri (39.1, -94.579) · by rule, at build
Digest
e1d10826a3a1894f99d191425fcf9166d9556b962721ddeb92e0e2771f0087ab