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Forecast Post
Atlanta's forecast for Tuesday has moved 10°F colder Subscribe

Atlanta's forecast for Tuesday has moved 10°F colder

67°F in the 20261108T06:00Z run, 57°F in the 20261110T00:00Z — the 2nd-largest revision of the 8 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 18°F.

JSON Milepost 1648

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Tuesday, November 17 at 18Z in Atlanta, that trail runs from 66.8°F in the 20261108T06:00Z cycle to 56.6°F in the 20261110T00:00Z — a move of -10.3°F across 8 runs.

The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Tuesday at 18Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
-10.3 °F normal 0.0 °F · 2 of 8
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
17.8 °F normal 10.3 °F
current run
Milepost
1648 · laid 2026-11-10T10:25:27Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261110T00:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Stores
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Tagged
I-500 Daily Weather · Atlanta, Georgia (33.749, -84.388) · by rule, at build
Digest
8172f4e6cdf46c7ef31f77d861d148a4c20284c4aba3201399f99b368c5470a1