Kansas City, Missouri Revisions
MILEPOST 1617
Kansas City's forecast for Saturday has moved 12°F colder
60°F in the 20261107T06:00Z run, 48°F in the 20261109T00:00Z — the largest revision of any city on the roster. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 22°F.
Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Saturday, November 14 at 18Z in Kansas City, that trail runs from 60.2°F in the 20261107T06:00Z cycle to 48.5°F in the 20261109T00:00Z — a move of -11.7°F across 8 runs.
The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.
Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.
The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
| forecast revision for Saturday at 18Z api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd) |
-11.7 °F | normal 0.0 °F · 1 of 5 8 synoptic cycles |
| 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour api.weather.city (nbm-qmd) |
22.1 °F | normal 11.7 °F current run |
- Milepost
- 1617 · laid 2026-11-09T10:25:26Z
- Model
- nbm-qmd · cycle 20261109T00:00Z
- Desk
- revision v1
- Method
- the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
- Source
- https://api.weather.city/v1/history
- Digest
- d446846ce6aa8159bae2eecd4d2d2f4ad9206e14c988e068377e7ad14ec48824
- Machine
- JSON