EKO The Ledger
MILEPOST 1612
The month's worst miss: NDFD was 40.1°F too cool at EKO
A day-2 forecast of 13.0°F for October 25 at 00Z; the station reported 53.1°F. It is the largest temperature residual in the ledger over the last 30 days.
The forecast was issued in the 20261023T12:00Z cycle, 36 hours before valid time, and called for 13.0°F. The observation was 53.1°F — a residual of -40.1°F.
240 of the 13,623 residuals above 12°F in this window are at the same station, which is a pattern worth reading as one.
ASOS reports at :53 and the forecast is stamped on the hour, so a forecast is paired with the nearest observation within 30 minutes and otherwise left unscored. No rows in this window were excluded as data defects.
The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
| forecast, day 2 Forecast Network verification ledger |
13 °F | normal 53.1 °F October 10–November 9, 2026 |
| residual Forecast Network verification ledger |
-40.1 °F | normal 0.0 °F · 1 of 13,623 October 10–November 9, 2026 |
- Milepost
- 1612 · laid 2026-11-09T00:25:27Z
- Model
- ndfd · cycle 20261023T12:00Z
- Desk
- ledger v1
- Method
- ASOS reports at :53 and the forecast is stamped on the hour, so a forecast is paired with the nearest observation within 30 minutes and otherwise left unscored.
- Source
- /home/maue/forecastpoints/data/verify/2026-10.ndjson
/home/maue/forecastpoints/data/verify/2026-11.ndjson - Digest
- 2c607968f4b7d27b0f16937e0b4d3794f3d1e5b75b5cb58b3738809ce38c3257
- Machine
- JSON