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Milepost
1610

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Sunday, 8 November 2026

Kansas City, Missouri Revisions MILEPOST 1607

Kansas City's forecast for Saturday has moved 14°F colder

47°F in the 20261106T12:00Z run, 33°F in the 20261108T06:00Z — the largest revision of any city on the roster. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 15°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Saturday, November 14 at 09Z in Kansas City, that trail runs from 47.4°F in the 20261106T12:00Z cycle to 33.4°F in the 20261108T06:00Z — a move of -14.0°F across 8 runs.

The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Saturday at 09Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
-14 °F normal 0.0 °F · 1 of 8
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
15.5 °F normal 14.0 °F
current run
Milepost
1607 · laid 2026-11-08T16:25:26Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261108T06:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
e9c63f25e45480cd42597d76e9deea2e43896badec78464d3ab055a65c3f1376
Machine
JSON