Kansas City, Missouri Revisions
MILEPOST 1603
Kansas City's forecast for Saturday has moved 15°F colder
61°F in the 20261105T18:00Z run, 46°F in the 20261107T12:00Z — the largest revision of any city on the roster. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 19°F.
Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Saturday, November 14 at 00Z in Kansas City, that trail runs from 61.1°F in the 20261105T18:00Z cycle to 46.1°F in the 20261107T12:00Z — a move of -14.9°F across 8 runs.
The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.
Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.
The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
| forecast revision for Saturday at 00Z api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd) |
-14.9 °F | normal 0.0 °F · 1 of 8 8 synoptic cycles |
| 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour api.weather.city (nbm-qmd) |
19.1 °F | normal 14.9 °F current run |
- Milepost
- 1603 · laid 2026-11-07T22:25:25Z
- Model
- nbm-qmd · cycle 20261107T12:00Z
- Desk
- revision v1
- Method
- the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
- Source
- https://api.weather.city/v1/history
- Digest
- 63de79b0947e57c4b3ea499e18275d83e4b65d4596909812ed86eee3be72be31
- Machine
- JSON