Kansas City, Missouri Revisions
MILEPOST 1602
Kansas City's forecast for Friday has moved 14°F colder
55°F in the 20261105T12:00Z run, 41°F in the 20261107T06:00Z — the largest revision of any city on the roster. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 16°F.
Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Friday, November 13 at 15Z in Kansas City, that trail runs from 55.0°F in the 20261105T12:00Z cycle to 40.5°F in the 20261107T06:00Z — a move of -14.4°F across 8 runs.
The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.
Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.
The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
| forecast revision for Friday at 15Z api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd) |
-14.4 °F | normal 0.0 °F · 1 of 9 8 synoptic cycles |
| 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour api.weather.city (nbm-qmd) |
16.2 °F | normal 14.4 °F current run |
- Milepost
- 1602 · laid 2026-11-07T16:25:26Z
- Model
- nbm-qmd · cycle 20261107T06:00Z
- Desk
- revision v1
- Method
- the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
- Source
- https://api.weather.city/v1/history
- Digest
- 8d52beef115c70949938f9e6116678eed5f8c68b24175d70ce1dfe1af629e863
- Machine
- JSON