Edition 2026-11-07 The Ledger Archive API RSS Weather Trader
Milepost
1596

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Saturday, 7 November 2026

Minneapolis, Minnesota Revisions MILEPOST 1596

Minneapolis's forecast for Saturday has moved 14°F colder

53°F in the 20261105T00:00Z run, 40°F in the 20261106T18:00Z — the 2nd-largest revision of the 7 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 16°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Saturday, November 14 at 00Z in Minneapolis, that trail runs from 53.4°F in the 20261105T00:00Z cycle to 39.6°F in the 20261106T18:00Z — a move of -13.8°F across 8 runs.

The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Saturday at 00Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
-13.8 °F normal 0.0 °F · 2 of 7
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
16.5 °F normal 13.8 °F
current run
Milepost
1596 · laid 2026-11-07T04:25:28Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261106T18:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
7c90802e5b8483b8377ddf2f0368f5b0841a07711ecf0f400d484a5b7396d2aa
Machine
JSON