Kansas City, Missouri Revisions
MILEPOST 1595
Kansas City's forecast for Friday has moved 16°F colder
67°F in the 20261105T00:00Z run, 51°F in the 20261106T18:00Z — the largest revision of any city on the roster. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 22°F.
Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Friday, November 13 at 18Z in Kansas City, that trail runs from 67.0°F in the 20261105T00:00Z cycle to 50.6°F in the 20261106T18:00Z — a move of -16.4°F across 8 runs.
The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.
Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.
The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
| forecast revision for Friday at 18Z api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd) |
-16.4 °F | normal 0.0 °F · 1 of 7 8 synoptic cycles |
| 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour api.weather.city (nbm-qmd) |
22 °F | normal 16.4 °F current run |
- Milepost
- 1595 · laid 2026-11-07T04:25:28Z
- Model
- nbm-qmd · cycle 20261106T18:00Z
- Desk
- revision v1
- Method
- the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
- Source
- https://api.weather.city/v1/history
- Digest
- 7390ae622b69175c3aa2f8f8f9d2bc224c71ccbf242c5451933371379c2b216d
- Machine
- JSON