New York, New York Revisions
MILEPOST 1588
New York's forecast for Friday has moved 8°F colder
56°F in the 20261104T00:00Z run, 48°F in the 20261105T18:00Z — the 3rd-largest revision of the 6 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 17°F.
Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Friday, November 13 at 18Z in New York, that trail runs from 56.5°F in the 20261104T00:00Z cycle to 48.4°F in the 20261105T18:00Z — a move of -8.0°F across 8 runs.
The change sits well inside the run's own spread, which is the guidance converging rather than reversing.
Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.
The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
| forecast revision for Friday at 18Z api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd) |
-8 °F | normal 0.0 °F · 3 of 6 8 synoptic cycles |
| 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour api.weather.city (nbm-qmd) |
17 °F | normal 8.0 °F current run |
- Milepost
- 1588 · laid 2026-11-06T04:25:24Z
- Model
- nbm-qmd · cycle 20261105T18:00Z
- Desk
- revision v1
- Method
- the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
- Source
- https://api.weather.city/v1/history
- Digest
- e0753dacad479bbdcb599fb5d5c0c0384db745d696912d90a2117391bce1a7af
- Machine
- JSON