Minneapolis, Minnesota Revisions
MILEPOST 1581
Minneapolis's forecast for Thursday has moved 6°F colder
57°F in the 20261103T00:00Z run, 51°F in the 20261104T18:00Z — the 3rd-largest revision of the 3 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 14°F.
Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Thursday, November 12 at 18Z in Minneapolis, that trail runs from 56.9°F in the 20261103T00:00Z cycle to 50.6°F in the 20261104T18:00Z — a move of -6.3°F across 8 runs.
The change sits well inside the run's own spread, which is the guidance converging rather than reversing.
Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.
The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
| forecast revision for Thursday at 18Z api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd) |
-6.3 °F | normal 0.0 °F · 3 of 3 8 synoptic cycles |
| 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour api.weather.city (nbm-qmd) |
14.4 °F | normal 6.3 °F current run |
- Milepost
- 1581 · laid 2026-11-05T04:25:24Z
- Model
- nbm-qmd · cycle 20261104T18:00Z
- Desk
- revision v1
- Method
- the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
- Source
- https://api.weather.city/v1/history
- Digest
- c7ff0bff1db5b5d488c29d3f80750deaaaac39df0b5666fbb5eb7dec57856575
- Machine
- JSON