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Milepost
1578

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Wednesday, 4 November 2026

Denver, Colorado Revisions MILEPOST 1578

Denver's forecast for Sunday has moved 6°F warmer

60°F in the 20261102T06:00Z run, 66°F in the 20261104T00:00Z — the 2nd-largest revision of the 2 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 6°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Sunday, November 8 at 21Z in Denver, that trail runs from 60.2°F in the 20261102T06:00Z cycle to 66.5°F in the 20261104T00:00Z — a move of +6.3°F across 8 runs.

The change is larger than the run's own 10th-to-90th percentile spread — the guidance did not merely narrow, it moved off its previous position.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Sunday at 21Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
6.3 °F normal 0.0 °F · 2 of 2
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
5.9 °F normal 6.3 °F
current run
Milepost
1578 · laid 2026-11-04T10:25:23Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261104T00:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
bd4dd48b7a02432990e947be5288fbbf8dfa018a77f1adb6823db65f21a76e7d
Machine
JSON