Kansas City, Missouri Revisions
MILEPOST 1576
Kansas City's forecast for Saturday has moved 9°F colder
61°F in the 20261102T00:00Z run, 52°F in the 20261103T18:00Z — the largest revision of any city on the roster. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 10°F.
Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Saturday, November 7 at 18Z in Kansas City, that trail runs from 60.9°F in the 20261102T00:00Z cycle to 52.2°F in the 20261103T18:00Z — a move of -8.6°F across 8 runs.
The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.
Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.
The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
| forecast revision for Saturday at 18Z api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd) |
-8.6 °F | normal 0.0 °F · 1 of 5 8 synoptic cycles |
| 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour api.weather.city (nbm-qmd) |
10.3 °F | normal 8.6 °F current run |
- Milepost
- 1576 · laid 2026-11-04T04:25:25Z
- Model
- nbm-qmd · cycle 20261103T18:00Z
- Desk
- revision v1
- Method
- the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
- Source
- https://api.weather.city/v1/history
- Digest
- 6a72e034ce4a245b7aaa2b433be15a4a795d41a346764aeca8c0a390d74fcea5
- Machine
- JSON