Edition 2026-11-03 The Ledger Archive API RSS Weather Trader
Milepost
1571

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Tuesday, 3 November 2026

Boston, Massachusetts Revisions MILEPOST 1571

Boston's forecast for Thursday has moved 6°F colder

40°F in the 20261101T12:00Z run, 34°F in the 20261103T06:00Z — the 3rd-largest revision of the 4 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 14°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Thursday, November 12 at 12Z in Boston, that trail runs from 40.0°F in the 20261101T12:00Z cycle to 33.5°F in the 20261103T06:00Z — a move of -6.5°F across 8 runs.

The change sits well inside the run's own spread, which is the guidance converging rather than reversing.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Thursday at 12Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
-6.5 °F normal 0.0 °F · 3 of 4
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
14 °F normal 6.5 °F
current run
Milepost
1571 · laid 2026-11-03T16:25:25Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261103T06:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
ff9b96e28e7efaace4a2e0e6928a915d0ca143d0d0a557e6b3b78b43b17d3fdd
Machine
JSON