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Milepost
1571

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Tuesday, 3 November 2026

Denver, Colorado Revisions MILEPOST 1570

Denver's forecast for Sunday has moved 8°F warmer

59°F in the 20261101T12:00Z run, 66°F in the 20261103T06:00Z — the 2nd-largest revision of the 4 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 10°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Sunday, November 8 at 21Z in Denver, that trail runs from 58.8°F in the 20261101T12:00Z cycle to 66.4°F in the 20261103T06:00Z — a move of +7.6°F across 8 runs.

The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Sunday at 21Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
7.6 °F normal 0.0 °F · 2 of 4
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
9.7 °F normal 7.6 °F
current run
Milepost
1570 · laid 2026-11-03T16:25:25Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261103T06:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
9901637879dea33523e16eb1e06d1e6c05c9d698f773d9a57e07a1ed98b8aacd
Machine
JSON