Kansas City, Missouri Revisions
MILEPOST 1569
Kansas City's forecast for Saturday has moved 8°F colder
62°F in the 20261101T12:00Z run, 54°F in the 20261103T06:00Z — the largest revision of any city on the roster. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 11°F.
Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Saturday, November 7 at 18Z in Kansas City, that trail runs from 62.0°F in the 20261101T12:00Z cycle to 54.2°F in the 20261103T06:00Z — a move of -7.7°F across 8 runs.
The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.
Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.
The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
| forecast revision for Saturday at 18Z api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd) |
-7.7 °F | normal 0.0 °F · 1 of 4 8 synoptic cycles |
| 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour api.weather.city (nbm-qmd) |
10.6 °F | normal 7.7 °F current run |
- Milepost
- 1569 · laid 2026-11-03T16:25:25Z
- Model
- nbm-qmd · cycle 20261103T06:00Z
- Desk
- revision v1
- Method
- the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
- Source
- https://api.weather.city/v1/history
- Digest
- c6dcf1b811510110f961c87871e9be9150be93a274aa3a83993ff5b05b2d90a8
- Machine
- JSON