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Milepost
1568

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Tuesday, 3 November 2026

Denver, Colorado Revisions MILEPOST 1568

Denver's forecast for Saturday has moved 8°F warmer

53°F in the 20261101T06:00Z run, 61°F in the 20261103T00:00Z — the largest revision of any city on the roster. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 12°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Saturday, November 7 at 21Z in Denver, that trail runs from 53.0°F in the 20261101T06:00Z cycle to 61.0°F in the 20261103T00:00Z — a move of +8.0°F across 8 runs.

The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Saturday at 21Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
8 °F normal 0.0 °F · 1 of 1
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
12.1 °F normal 8.0 °F
current run
Milepost
1568 · laid 2026-11-03T10:25:26Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261103T00:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
cd01141164f296fdf0a070bac7cf503a5e5b682fefde58683e17e43ad880c133
Machine
JSON