Edition 2026-11-03 The Ledger Archive API RSS Weather Trader
Milepost
1567

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Tuesday, 3 November 2026

Dallas, Texas Revisions MILEPOST 1567

Dallas's forecast for Wednesday has moved 7°F warmer

54°F in the 20261101T00:00Z run, 61°F in the 20261102T18:00Z — the largest revision of any city on the roster. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 13°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Wednesday, November 11 at 06Z in Dallas, that trail runs from 53.9°F in the 20261101T00:00Z cycle to 61.0°F in the 20261102T18:00Z — a move of +7.1°F across 8 runs.

The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Wednesday at 06Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
7.1 °F normal 0.0 °F · 1 of 1
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
13 °F normal 7.1 °F
current run
Milepost
1567 · laid 2026-11-03T04:25:24Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261102T18:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
48ebf127f3dee181c04010708d25fe469d27e8e4202537bd47a93fc42f4864df
Machine
JSON