Kansas City, Missouri Revisions
MILEPOST 1565
Kansas City's forecast for Saturday has moved 10°F colder
64°F in the 20261031T18:00Z run, 54°F in the 20261102T12:00Z — the largest revision of any city on the roster. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 13°F.
Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Saturday, November 7 at 18Z in Kansas City, that trail runs from 64.0°F in the 20261031T18:00Z cycle to 53.9°F in the 20261102T12:00Z — a move of -10.1°F across 8 runs.
The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.
Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.
The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
| forecast revision for Saturday at 18Z api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd) |
-10.1 °F | normal 0.0 °F · 1 of 6 8 synoptic cycles |
| 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour api.weather.city (nbm-qmd) |
13.3 °F | normal 10.1 °F current run |
- Milepost
- 1565 · laid 2026-11-02T22:25:27Z
- Model
- nbm-qmd · cycle 20261102T12:00Z
- Desk
- revision v1
- Method
- the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
- Source
- https://api.weather.city/v1/history
- Digest
- 64e1bb346aa92a91b042228186197b671fbdc89ed801de39a0432fbef937d4dd
- Machine
- JSON