Edition 2026-11-02 The Ledger Archive API RSS Weather Trader
Milepost
1563

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Monday, 2 November 2026

Boston, Massachusetts Revisions MILEPOST 1562

Boston's forecast for Saturday has moved 7°F warmer

53°F in the 20261031T06:00Z run, 61°F in the 20261102T00:00Z — the 2nd-largest revision of the 5 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 11°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Saturday, November 7 at 06Z in Boston, that trail runs from 53.1°F in the 20261031T06:00Z cycle to 60.5°F in the 20261102T00:00Z — a move of +7.4°F across 8 runs.

The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Saturday at 06Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
7.4 °F normal 0.0 °F · 2 of 5
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
11.3 °F normal 7.4 °F
current run
Milepost
1562 · laid 2026-11-02T10:25:25Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261102T00:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
20a812da98e8f056a0fc8d67090b44fb61c68e1c9a13f12c819060a7f07946a8
Machine
JSON