Edition 2026-11-01 The Ledger Archive API RSS Weather Trader
Milepost
1558

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Sunday, 1 November 2026

Minneapolis, Minnesota Revisions MILEPOST 1557

Minneapolis's forecast for Saturday has moved 7°F colder

46°F in the 20261030T12:00Z run, 38°F in the 20261101T06:00Z — the 2nd-largest revision of the 9 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 14°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Saturday, November 7 at 12Z in Minneapolis, that trail runs from 45.6°F in the 20261030T12:00Z cycle to 38.1°F in the 20261101T06:00Z — a move of -7.5°F across 8 runs.

The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Saturday at 12Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
-7.5 °F normal 0.0 °F · 2 of 9
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
13.7 °F normal 7.5 °F
current run
Milepost
1557 · laid 2026-11-01T16:25:23Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261101T06:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
e1b796c1bd261fab11bb1d8222b4d69dffb3b192ed144da371233b201ff723c2
Machine
JSON