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Milepost
1555

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Sunday, 1 November 2026

Denver, Colorado Revisions MILEPOST 1555

Denver's forecast for Tuesday has moved 6°F colder

44°F in the 20261030T06:00Z run, 38°F in the 20261101T00:00Z — the 3rd-largest revision of the 5 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 17°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Tuesday, November 10 at 12Z in Denver, that trail runs from 44.4°F in the 20261030T06:00Z cycle to 38.0°F in the 20261101T00:00Z — a move of -6.4°F across 8 runs.

The change sits well inside the run's own spread, which is the guidance converging rather than reversing.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Tuesday at 12Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
-6.4 °F normal 0.0 °F · 3 of 5
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
16.9 °F normal 6.4 °F
current run
Milepost
1555 · laid 2026-11-01T10:25:23Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261101T00:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
19ae3d7ab666e437529461298315aac5015b2fbcfacc0de7b7a3186be884f0a0
Machine
JSON