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Milepost
1554

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Sunday, 1 November 2026

Denver, Colorado Revisions MILEPOST 1554

Denver's forecast for Tuesday has moved 9°F colder

45°F in the 20261030T00:00Z run, 36°F in the 20261031T18:00Z — the 2nd-largest revision of the 3 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 18°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Tuesday, November 10 at 12Z in Denver, that trail runs from 45.2°F in the 20261030T00:00Z cycle to 36.1°F in the 20261031T18:00Z — a move of -9.0°F across 8 runs.

The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Tuesday at 12Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
-9 °F normal 0.0 °F · 2 of 3
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
17.6 °F normal 9.0 °F
current run
Milepost
1554 · laid 2026-11-01T04:25:23Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261031T18:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
ef2b46c139991546c48fccfaac6a433ea9c54233bd9db17d53fff69a68a1bb9e
Machine
JSON