Edition 2026-10-31 The Ledger Archive API RSS Weather Trader
Milepost
1551

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Saturday, 31 October 2026

Boston, Massachusetts Revisions MILEPOST 1550

Boston's forecast for Monday has moved 8°F warmer

38°F in the 20261029T18:00Z run, 46°F in the 20261031T12:00Z — the 2nd-largest revision of the 6 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 15°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Monday, November 9 at 12Z in Boston, that trail runs from 38.0°F in the 20261029T18:00Z cycle to 45.6°F in the 20261031T12:00Z — a move of +7.6°F across 8 runs.

The change sits well inside the run's own spread, which is the guidance converging rather than reversing.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Monday at 12Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
7.6 °F normal 0.0 °F · 2 of 6
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
15.5 °F normal 7.6 °F
current run
Milepost
1550 · laid 2026-10-31T22:25:23Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261031T12:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
61adfd1fa7334f3b2cf88f94d6dfef8879da1b165beccc145e149e88bf94e724
Machine
JSON