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Milepost
1549

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Saturday, 31 October 2026

Denver, Colorado Revisions MILEPOST 1547

Denver's forecast for Tuesday has moved 8°F colder

45°F in the 20261030T00:00Z run, 37°F in the 20261031T06:00Z — the largest revision of any city on the roster. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 18°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Tuesday, November 10 at 12Z in Denver, that trail runs from 45.2°F in the 20261030T00:00Z cycle to 36.9°F in the 20261031T06:00Z — a move of -8.2°F across 8 runs.

The change sits well inside the run's own spread, which is the guidance converging rather than reversing.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Tuesday at 12Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
-8.2 °F normal 0.0 °F · 1 of 4
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
17.8 °F normal 8.2 °F
current run
Milepost
1547 · laid 2026-10-31T16:25:23Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261031T06:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
e2d77b2b0fab7f621836a984e920ac1e936a4564c4a2de9335a880034ff23cb3
Machine
JSON