Edition 2026-10-31 The Ledger Archive API RSS Weather Trader
Milepost
1545

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Saturday, 31 October 2026

Nashville, Tennessee Revisions MILEPOST 1545

Nashville's forecast for Friday has moved 6°F warmer

61°F in the 20261029T00:00Z run, 67°F in the 20261030T18:00Z — the 3rd-largest revision of the 3 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 17°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Friday, November 6 at 18Z in Nashville, that trail runs from 61.1°F in the 20261029T00:00Z cycle to 67.1°F in the 20261030T18:00Z — a move of +6.1°F across 8 runs.

The change sits well inside the run's own spread, which is the guidance converging rather than reversing.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Friday at 18Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
6.1 °F normal 0.0 °F · 3 of 3
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
17.2 °F normal 6.1 °F
current run
Milepost
1545 · laid 2026-10-31T04:25:20Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261030T18:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
67469a1811c244a41045fefb7ba2e435972ea6f7595652acd8d4c2de26e36b1f
Machine
JSON