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Milepost
1545

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Saturday, 31 October 2026

Minneapolis, Minnesota Revisions MILEPOST 1544

Minneapolis's forecast for Wednesday has moved 8°F colder

54°F in the 20261029T00:00Z run, 46°F in the 20261030T18:00Z — the largest revision of any city on the roster. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 17°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Wednesday, November 4 at 06Z in Minneapolis, that trail runs from 53.8°F in the 20261029T00:00Z cycle to 45.5°F in the 20261030T18:00Z — a move of -8.2°F across 8 runs.

The change sits well inside the run's own spread, which is the guidance converging rather than reversing.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Wednesday at 06Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
-8.2 °F normal 0.0 °F · 1 of 3
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
17.1 °F normal 8.2 °F
current run
Milepost
1544 · laid 2026-10-31T04:25:20Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261030T18:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
7976e4ccc722f0d5f9ddaa00ee23f2831a9758008410808c7e547761c621a527
Machine
JSON