Minneapolis, Minnesota Revisions
MILEPOST 1541
Minneapolis's forecast for Thursday has moved 7°F warmer
48°F in the 20261028T18:00Z run, 54°F in the 20261030T12:00Z — the 2nd-largest revision of the 5 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 13°F.
Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Thursday, November 5 at 21Z in Minneapolis, that trail runs from 47.7°F in the 20261028T18:00Z cycle to 54.5°F in the 20261030T12:00Z — a move of +6.7°F across 8 runs.
The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.
Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.
The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
| forecast revision for Thursday at 21Z api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd) |
6.7 °F | normal 0.0 °F · 2 of 5 8 synoptic cycles |
| 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour api.weather.city (nbm-qmd) |
12.9 °F | normal 6.7 °F current run |
- Milepost
- 1541 · laid 2026-10-30T22:25:28Z
- Model
- nbm-qmd · cycle 20261030T12:00Z
- Desk
- revision v1
- Method
- the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
- Source
- https://api.weather.city/v1/history
- Digest
- 058d68c6a3d912f5aa13ba50133ada5b5991690fc15c779586650dee59c5c37d
- Machine
- JSON