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Milepost
1531

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Friday, 30 October 2026

Kansas City, Missouri Revisions MILEPOST 1528

Kansas City's forecast for Friday has moved 9°F warmer

41°F in the 20261029T00:00Z run, 50°F in the 20261029T12:00Z — the largest revision of any city on the roster. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 16°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Friday, November 6 at 09Z in Kansas City, that trail runs from 41.5°F in the 20261029T00:00Z cycle to 50.1°F in the 20261029T12:00Z — a move of +8.6°F across 8 runs.

The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Friday at 09Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
8.6 °F normal 0.0 °F · 1 of 5
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
15.8 °F normal 8.6 °F
current run
Milepost
1528 · laid 2026-10-29T22:25:23Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261029T12:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
f318e332e669e947c8f6abec13c9f6802db85411a14b21968d319e3fcdfbc482
Machine
JSON