Minneapolis's forecast for Thursday has moved 9°F colder
61°F in the 20261027T00:00Z run, 52°F in the 20261028T18:00Z — the 3rd-largest revision of the 8 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 6°F.
Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Thursday, October 29 at 21Z in Minneapolis, that trail runs from 60.8°F in the 20261027T00:00Z cycle to 52.1°F in the 20261028T18:00Z — a move of -8.6°F across 8 runs.
The change is larger than the run's own 10th-to-90th percentile spread — the guidance did not merely narrow, it moved off its previous position.
Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.
| forecast revision for Thursday at 21Z api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd) |
-8.6 °F | normal 0.0 °F · 3 of 8 8 synoptic cycles |
| 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour api.weather.city (nbm-qmd) |
6 °F | normal 8.6 °F current run |
- Milepost
- 1524 · laid 2026-10-29T04:25:27Z
- Model
- nbm-qmd · cycle 20261028T18:00Z
- Desk
- revision v1
- Method
- the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
- Source
- https://api.weather.city/v1/history
- Digest
- 5d5d38688bd8dd8e6b369b3d54752a04a2b3f02a92afb11f3d1bc99a298dc98d
- Machine
- JSON