Edition 2026-10-29 The Ledger Archive API RSS Weather Trader
Milepost
1524

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Thursday, 29 October 2026

Minneapolis, Minnesota Revisions MILEPOST 1524

Minneapolis's forecast for Thursday has moved 9°F colder

61°F in the 20261027T00:00Z run, 52°F in the 20261028T18:00Z — the 3rd-largest revision of the 8 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 6°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Thursday, October 29 at 21Z in Minneapolis, that trail runs from 60.8°F in the 20261027T00:00Z cycle to 52.1°F in the 20261028T18:00Z — a move of -8.6°F across 8 runs.

The change is larger than the run's own 10th-to-90th percentile spread — the guidance did not merely narrow, it moved off its previous position.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Thursday at 21Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
-8.6 °F normal 0.0 °F · 3 of 8
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
6 °F normal 8.6 °F
current run
Milepost
1524 · laid 2026-10-29T04:25:27Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261028T18:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
5d5d38688bd8dd8e6b369b3d54752a04a2b3f02a92afb11f3d1bc99a298dc98d
Machine
JSON