Edition 2026-10-28 The Ledger Archive API RSS Weather Trader
Milepost
1519

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Wednesday, 28 October 2026

Nashville, Tennessee Revisions MILEPOST 1519

Nashville's forecast for Thursday has moved 9°F warmer

49°F in the 20261026T18:00Z run, 59°F in the 20261028T12:00Z — the 3rd-largest revision of the 9 cities on the roster that moved at all. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 17°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Thursday, November 5 at 06Z in Nashville, that trail runs from 49.4°F in the 20261026T18:00Z cycle to 58.7°F in the 20261028T12:00Z — a move of +9.3°F across 8 runs.

The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Thursday at 06Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
9.3 °F normal 0.0 °F · 3 of 9
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
17 °F normal 9.3 °F
current run
Milepost
1519 · laid 2026-10-28T21:25:28Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261028T12:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
07337a07d6ba59c949e480fb416b41a5110fab2475f4e38d16270a6a8ca232a6
Machine
JSON