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Milepost
1518

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Wednesday, 28 October 2026

Boston, Massachusetts Revisions MILEPOST 1517

Boston's forecast for Sunday has moved 11°F colder

46°F in the 20261026T12:00Z run, 35°F in the 20261028T06:00Z — the largest revision of any city on the roster. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 5°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Sunday, November 1 at 12Z in Boston, that trail runs from 45.6°F in the 20261026T12:00Z cycle to 35.0°F in the 20261028T06:00Z — a move of -10.6°F across 8 runs.

The change is larger than the run's own 10th-to-90th percentile spread — the guidance did not merely narrow, it moved off its previous position.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Sunday at 12Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
-10.6 °F normal 0.0 °F · 1 of 9
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
5.4 °F normal 10.6 °F
current run
Milepost
1517 · laid 2026-10-28T16:25:25Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261028T06:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
08bf435c28df221dd3712bbfa8f0c56365c66d731b2316e610e24ff70793ce8e
Machine
JSON