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Milepost
1515

TheForecast Post

A chronicle of American weather and climate  ·  Wednesday, 28 October 2026

Atlanta, Georgia Revisions MILEPOST 1515

Atlanta's forecast for Sunday has moved 10°F colder

72°F in the 20261026T06:00Z run, 62°F in the 20261028T00:00Z — the largest revision of any city on the roster. The current run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour is 14°F.

Successive cycles do not merely refresh a forecast; they leave a trail. For Sunday, November 1 at 21Z in Atlanta, that trail runs from 72.4°F in the 20261026T06:00Z cycle to 62.3°F in the 20261028T00:00Z — a move of -10.1°F across 8 runs.

The change is about half the run's 10th-to-90th percentile spread, so the earlier forecast is still inside the current range of outcomes.

Model NBM-QMD, via api.weather.city /v1/history. Percentiles are the same run's own.

The numbers in this piece, with what they are measured against
forecast revision for Sunday at 21Z
api.weather.city /v1/history (nbm-qmd)
-10.1 °F normal 0.0 °F · 1 of 6
8 synoptic cycles
10th-to-90th percentile spread at that hour
api.weather.city (nbm-qmd)
14.2 °F normal 10.1 °F
current run
Milepost
1515 · laid 2026-10-28T09:25:25Z
Model
nbm-qmd · cycle 20261028T00:00Z
Desk
revision v1
Method
the same valid time read from successive synoptic cycles; the move is last run minus first run
Source
https://api.weather.city/v1/history
Digest
a0daba730f58e5e6715ca73b907d7c20449040d0c98c04589157963c78782bfb
Machine
JSON